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March CPI to leave door open for Fed June rate cut according to BofA

BofA’s
preview for this week’s US CPI report.

  • Energy: Even
    though energy prices are higher, gasoline prices usually rise in March. Which
    means the seasonally adjusted rise might not be as scary for energy.
  • Car
    prices: Sees a decline in core goods, mostly driven by a drop in used and new
    car prices.
  • Core
    services: Expect non-housing services to pull core services lower. Looking for
    core services ex rent and OER to show only a modest 0.2% increase versus last
    month’s 0.5% jump. The biggest contributors to the slower pace are airfares and
    lodging away from home.

The bank thinks a print in line with market
expectations leaves a June cut on the table.

This article was written by Arno V Venter at www.forexlive.com.

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