- I supported a 50 bps cut as a compromise between remaining uncertainty around inflation and risks to the labour market.
- Recent data show convincingly that the US economy is on a sustainable path to price stability.
- A half-point cut at this meeting does not lock in a cadence for future rate cuts.
- Risks to the labour market have increased, with the possibility of broad weakness higher than a year ago.
- Price increases have narrowed and become concentrated in housing.
- The economy is effectively near conditions that would be considered normal.
- Businesses are becoming more careful in hiring but not considering layoffs.
This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at www.forexlive.com.
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