Thursday , 7 November 2024
Home Forex Weekly update on interest rate expectations
Forex

Weekly update on interest rate expectations

Rate cuts by year-end

  • Fed: 43 bps (92% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting)

2025: 142 bps

  • ECB: 30 bps (80% probability of 25 bps rate cut at the upcoming meeting)

2025: 140 bps

  • BoE: 43 bps (87% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting)

2025: 138 bps

  • BoC: 80 bps (91% probability of 50 bps rate cut at the upcoming meeting)

2025: 172 bps

  • RBA: 6 bps (91% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)

2025: 61 bps

  • RBNZ: 53 bps (87% probability of 50 bps rate cut at the upcoming meeting)

2025: 213 bps

  • SNB: 28 bps (88% probability of 25 bps rate cut at the upcoming meeting)

2025: 73 bps

Rate hikes by year-end

  • BoJ: 8 bps (92% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)

2025: 35 bps

*where you see 25 bps rate cut, the rest of the probability is for a 50 bps cut

This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at www.forexlive.com.

Leave a comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Related Articles

Japan’s Top FX Diplomat Mimura: Closely watching FX moves with a high sense of urgency

Atsushi Mimura, Japan’s Vice Finance Minister For International Affairs and top foreign...

China state banks seen selling USD/CNY – intervention to slow yuan drop

They did the same yesterday. They won't stop a rampant US dollar,...

Australian Dollar remains tepid following a lower Trade Balance, Trump’s victory

The Australian Dollar (AUD) remains subdued against the US Dollar (USD) for...

Trump Victory Implications: Market Outlook and Sector Analysis

Abrdn plc (formerly Standard Life Aberdeen plc) is a United Kingdom-based investment...