ECB’s Knot says mkt maybe a bit over-enthusiastic on Bank rate cuts, on Dec: “we’ll see”

European Central Bank policy rate-setter Knot spoke on Saturday, watering down expectation of a December ECB rate cut just a little:

• “It is important that we keep all options open. Retaining full optionality would act as a hedge against the materialization of risks in either direction to the growth and inflation outlook,”
• “We believe that our meeting-by-meeting and data dependent approach has served us well,”

Knot said that expectation for a December rate cut in the market had increased “quite dramatically” following the recent data (weak purchasing managers’ index and consumption data), but tried to water these down a little:

• “We will have to see whether that was a little bit over-enthusiastic or not. We will only know once we do our own calculations again in December”

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Not sure too many folks will be fooled by this, the December rate cut seems almost locked in.

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While we’re here, yen update following the election in Japan over the weekend:

• USD/JPY is above 153 on the Japanese election result – yen plunge
• Economic calendar in Asia Monday, October 28, 2024 – empty … but check out plunging yen!

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.