Monday , 25 November 2024
Home Forex Dallas Fed manufacturing business index -2.7 vs -3.0 prior
Forex

Dallas Fed manufacturing business index -2.7 vs -3.0 prior

  • Prior was -3.0
  • Production -0.9 vs +14.6 prior
  • New orders -11.9 vs -3.7 prior
  • Capex +7.8 vs +4.6 prior
  • Employment +4.9 vs -5.1 prior
  • Outlook +5.8 vs -3.3

Comments in the report:

Chemical manufacturing

  • Global industrial demand for chemicals remains stable but at low
    levels. Our outlook six months forward is for very slow improvement,
    but that outlook is uncertain due to risks of tariffs and the potential
    impact on global demand. Rising long-term rates remain a headwind for
    domestic construction activity and the resulting sluggish demand for PVC
    as construction material.
  • Short-term, fourth-quarter raw material prices have increased,
    and the continuing decline in economic demand related to the automotive
    industry and building trades has created a large reduction in
    orders/volume. Longer term, the outcome of the election should benefit
    all U.S. businesses once policy is corrected and consumer confidence
    increases.

Computer and electronic product manufacturing

  • We are delighted at the election outcome and expect this to be very good for our business.
  • I believe we are seeing signs of cyclical bottoming. Several
    markets like consumer, communication and computers have clearly
    bottomed. Auto and industrial are still uncertain, but industrial is
    closer to a bottom.

Food manufacturing

  • We are in a period of a bit of stagflation. It is compounded by
    the regime change. We do think the Trump administration will be
    healthy, particularly after the cabinet heads settle in, and free
    enterprise supported by domestic tranquility and the common defense
    become the norm.

Machinery manufacturing

  • Hallelujah, the election is over, the
    results were unquestionably solid, work can be done, and attitudes are
    seemingly much improved. I do believe that six months from now we will
    prove to be at full throttle. We’ve held on the past year. We still
    have some rough water to navigate in the near term, but long term,
    things look mighty rosy in many areas of our marketplace. We’re optimistic, we’re encouraged, and we feel very blessed.
  • Now that the election is over, we believe business will pick back up due to a more pro-business environment.

Paper manufacturing

  • There is trending softness at this time.

Primary metal manufacturing

  • The company outlook has improved due to capital expenditure to
    manufacture new products to enter new markets. Legacy business has
    declined, and new products will replace the decaying products.

Printing and related support activities

  • We continue to be slow, which is very odd given how busy we were
    for most of the calendar year. We are hopeful things will pick up,
    which is why we predict in six months we should be busier, plus we do
    tend to be busier in the late spring to summer time frame.

Textile product mills

  • Prices paid for finished goods have increased, and we are unsure
    of how potential tariffs will impact our cost of goods sold. Demand is
    also in question, and uncertainty is high.

Transportation equipment manufacturing

  • There are things to work out nationally, but [we are] getting poised for growth.

Wood product manufacturing

  • Things are good.

This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.

Leave a comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Related Articles

Scott Bessent understood that Japanese easing was a negative for the yen, but little else

Today is Scott Bessent day in financial markets and that means we're...

USDCAD retraced earlier declines but finds willing sellers near its 200 hour MA.

The USD/CAD gapped lower over the weekend following news that Scott Bressent...

NZDUSD up and down today but stays below 100/200 hour MAs

The NZD/USD pair opened with a gap higher but has spent the...

ANZ offers up its NZD outlook ahead of the November RBNZ meeting

ANZ highlights that the upcoming RBNZ meeting is unlikely to spark a...