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US November ISM manufacturing survey 48.4 vs 47.5 expected

  • Prior was 46.5
  • Prices Paid 50.3 vs 54.8 prior
  • New Orders 50.4 vs 47.1 prior — returned to expansion
  • Production 46.8 vs 46.2 prior
  • Employment 48.1 vs 44.4 prior
  • Supplier Deliveries 48.7 vs 52.0 prior
  • Inventories 48.1 vs 42.6 prior
  • Backlog of Orders 41.8 vs 42.3 prior
  • New Export Orders 48.7 vs 45.5 prior
  • Imports 47.6 vs 48.3 prior
  • Customers’ Inventories 48.4 vs 46.8 prior

The US dollar has ticked up to the best levels of the day in the aftermath of the report.

Comments in the report:

  • “High mortgage rates continue to hamper demand for new housing
    construction, which is a key market for adhesives and sealants.”
    [Chemical Products]
  • “Business remains slow. We anticipate that the first half of 2025
    will be similar and hope that demand increases in the second half of
    2025.” [Transportation Equipment]
  • “Inflation, even after easing, continues to impact demand. Consumers
    are looking for value, and purchasing behaviors are changing as many
    shoppers reduce consumption, causing softer volume.” [Food, Beverage
    & Tobacco Products]
  • “Backlog is rising precipitously after 18 months of troughing. The
    long-awaited pent-up buying has started. Competition for qualified
    technical labor is a constraint on operational throughput.” [Computer
    & Electronic Products]
  • “A general construction slowdown in the fourth quarter has created a
    surplus of finished goods, creating the need for an extra two weeks of
    shutdown over the Christmas holiday period. We are carefully watching
    demand in the first quarter to determine if more permanent workforce
    reductions will be necessary.” [Machinery]
  • “Business is slowing as customers destock and appear uncertain about
    near-term demand. Preliminary forecast for 2025 is down significantly;
    we hope to see improvements now that we are beyond U.S. election
    uncertainties.” [Fabricated Metal Products]
  • “Our supplier has a positive outlook on the U.S. economy going into
    2025. Our business is seeing an uptick in sales forecasts for the first
    quarter of 2025 versus the fourth quarter of 2024. Overall, our outlook
    for 2025 is optimistic.” [Textile Mills]
  • “We’re finally seeing traction in the last few weeks (with) a higher
    volume of orders. Backlog is starting to grow.” [Electrical Equipment,
    Appliances & Components]
  • “Late to the game, we are now working on our buying plan in light of
    potential increased tariffs on imports from China. Cost and capacity of
    U.S. manufacturing is a concern; a lack of relationship with alternate
    low-cost international manufacturers is another.” [Miscellaneous
    Manufacturing]
  • “After the election, we have seen an uptick in customers wanting to
    come back to the U.S. for making their products. We are working through
    these inquiries. They seem very motivated.” [Primary Metals]

This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.

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