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Bitcoin Futures Analysis and Price Prediction for February 12, 2025

Bitcoin Futures (BTC) is currently trading at 96,165, and today’s analysis focuses on key technical levels, VWAP strategies, and volume profile insights to guide both bullish and bearish trade scenarios.

📈 Bitcoin Price Prediction: Bullish Trade Plan

We turn bullish above 96,250, a key threshold sitting just above the Value Area Low (VAL) of February 6th. If BTC holds above this level, the following targets come into play:

1. 96,600 – A short-term resistance level just below yesterday’s VWAP, where sellers may emerge.
2. 97,160 – The Point of Control (POC) from February 6th, a major liquidity zone below yesterday’s Value Area High (VAH) at 97,275.
3. 97,500 – The VWAP of February 3rd, another critical price area for intraday momentum.
4. 97,775 – The 1st upper standard deviation of VWAP from yesterday, which often acts as a dynamic resistance level.
5. 98,265 – A strong technical level just under the Value Area High of February 10th.
6. 99,775 – A runner position, positioned strategically below the psychological 100,000 resistance and near the VWAP of February 4th.

For long-term bullish traders, an extended price target could be 102,625, aligning with the Point of Control (POC) from February 3rd and near the VAH of February 3rd at 102,875.

📉 Bitcoin Price Prediction: Bearish Trade Plan

We turn bearish below 95,500, signaling downside momentum with the following target levels:

1. 95,100 – A quick profit-taking zone just under yesterday’s Value Area Low (VAL).
2. 94,450 – A significant support level, positioned slightly lower for short-term selling pressure.
3. 92,475 – A major downside target sitting above the Value Area Low of January 13th.
4. 90,700 – A critical price point correlating with the Value Area Low of November 15th, a potential last line of defense for bulls.

📊 Why VWAP and Volume Profile Matter in Bitcoin Trading

Understanding VWAP: A Key Trading Benchmark

VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) is a fundamental tool for traders, offering a fair price benchmark used by institutions and algos to determine overbought or oversold conditions.

• Bullish Signals: If BTC trades above VWAP and holds, it indicates buyers have control.
• Bearish Signals: A break below VWAP suggests a potential shift in momentum toward sellers.

Volume Profile and Key Value Area Levels

The Volume Profile is essential for identifying high-volume trading areas where price action is likely to react.

• Value Area High (VAH): A breakout above VAH can fuel bullish continuation if volume supports the move.
• Value Area Low (VAL): Acts as a critical support level—a failure here signals further downside risk.
• Point of Control (POC): The price level with the highest traded volume, often acting as a magnet for price reversion.

Why These Levels Matter for Bitcoin Futures

• Traders use VWAP deviations (1st, 2nd, and 3rd standard deviations) to identify areas of overextension and potential reversals.
• The price reaction at VAH and VAL can provide confirmation for trend continuation or potential reversal trades.

Bitcoin Price Forecast: Trade at Your Own Risk

This Bitcoin analysis and price prediction serve as a technical guide for traders based on historical volume levels, VWAP strategies, and key price reactions. However, this is not financial advice—always align your trades with your own risk management strategy and market approach.

Bitcoin’s next move hinges on key levels—watch 96,250 for bullish momentum or 95,500 for further downside confirmation. Visit ForexLive.com for additional views.

This article was written by Itai Levitan at www.forexlive.com.