Thursday , 13 February 2025
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Weekly update on interest rate expectations

Rate cuts by year-end

  • Fed: 31 bps (98% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)
  • ECB: 75 bps (94% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting)
  • BoE: 54 bps (78% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)
  • BoC: 49 bps (55% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)
  • RBA: 76 bps (79% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting)
  • RBNZ: 105 bps (51% probability of 50 bps rate cut at the upcoming meeting)
  • SNB: 35 bps (87% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting)

Rate hikes by year-end

  • BoJ: 31 bps (95% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)

This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at www.forexlive.com.

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