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Bank of Canada’s Macklem. We need to be more symmetric in our policy

  • There is enough excess supply in the economy to bring inflation back down toward 2% target
  • We need to be more symmetric in our policy
  • Canada does not need more excess supply, it needs growth and job creation to start picking up
  • indicators are suggesting that broad base price pressures are easing
  • If inflation continues to move down as we expect, it is reasonable to expect lower rates.
  • We don’t want to predetermine policy
  • There was a clear consensus to cut by 25 basis points
  • There was a clear consensus that the expected path of rates is lower but we are not on a predetermined path
  • Broad agreement that inflation is going to come down, but progress can be uneven. We need to watch the opposing forces.
  • Our assessment is that monetary policy is still restrictive. That is why we have cut our policy right at the last two meetings.
  • We are determined to get inflation to 2% but we don’t want the economy to weaken too much to push inflation below 2%.
  • We have a long-standing housing imbalance pushed by a structural imbalance from increase in population
  • Households are cutting back on discretionary spending
  • Canadians are feeling the pinch from higher grocery prices. Rates coming down should help the consumer.
  • Getting a job is harder for new immigrants, for young workers.
  • The divergence is widening vs the US. There is limits on how diverged policy can go.
  • With inflation moving lower in the US, my feeling is the divergence vs the US will not be particularly serious
  • Inflation disproportionately affects.lower income Canadians

This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.

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