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BOJ’s Nakamura: Says inflation may not reach 2% from FY 2025 on if consumption weakens

Bank of Japan policy board member Nakamura:

  • Japan’s economy recovering moderately albeit some weak signs
  • My view is that
    inflation may not reach 2% from fiscal 2025 onward if consumption
    weakens
  • Will focus on
    whether inflation-adjusted consumption turns positive, in deciding
    future monetary policy
  • Based on current
    data, it is appropriate to keep policy intact for time being
  • Pass-through of
    wages to inflation remains weak but closely monitoring situation
  • Households’ purchasing power is weak, solid rise in disposable income
    is needed for households to boost spending
  • Personally not
    confident that wage growth will be sustained
  • Want to check
    whether capex growth will become broad-based, as some smaller firms
    appear to be delaying investment due to supply constraints
  • Hard to believe companies, which had focused on cost cuts for 30
    years, would suddenly change their mindset in 2 years
  • Structural changes
    in economy are necessary for Japan to sustainably, stably achieve BOJ’s 2% inflation target
  • Pace of overseas economic recovery slowing, uncertainty remains high
  • Japan’s consumption
    has recently been sluggish

I bolded … a lot of the comments. These seem indicative of easy policy remaining in place for the time being.

The BOJ meet next week, June 13 and 14.

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.

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