Given the combination of further rate cuts, a still-weak real economy, risks from US tariffs and a strong US Dollar (USD), expect the Canadian Dollar (CAD) to continue to struggle for several months, Commerzbank’s BoC is expected to end the cut cycle for the time being “In the meantime, we are even trading slightly above our expected peak of 1.41 in the first quarter of 2025 with USD/CAD at 1.42.
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