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ECB’s Nagel: The probability of a rate cut before the summer break is increasing

  • Does not see any automatism in rate cuts
  • A June rate cut has a higher probability than one in April

The ECB will break for the summer right after its July meeting. So, if even the more hawkish members are compliant with a June move, it is pretty much a done deal now. That is barring any major shocks or surprise developments in the next two months.

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

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