Tuesday , 21 January 2025
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European sovereign yields are pushing towards the highs of the month

Today, European sovereign yields are breaking out of a consolidation pattern in a sign of waning demand for safety.

The charts speak for themselves as it’s a consistent move from west to east.

UK 10s:

French 10s:

Italian 10s are up 8 bps today in the largest jump since June:

Bunds have broken out of the recent consolidation pattern:

US 10s are still near the lower end of the range but are up 4.5 bps today in the second day of selling. Today we also get $69 billion in 2s for sale, followed by 5s and 7s in the subsequent two days.

There isn’t a good explanation for what is driving these moves as the only data we got today was German GfK consumer sentiment at -22.0 compared to -18.2 expected. I think the calendar could be a factor on rebalancing flows or some other quirk.

Keep a close eye on Treasuries today.

This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.

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