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Fed’s Goolsbee: Inflation came in around expectations, improvement on housing

  • There have been a series of ‘close call’ type meetings
  • There will probably be more close call meetings
  • Still a lot of data coming in on what’s next, nothing is ever not on the table
  • We don’t want to get ahead or behind
  • Job market has cooled to a level of full employment
  • Fed projections show vast majority believes that over the next 12-18 months, rates come down a fair amount
  • The Fed has to take a longer view
  • If data continues to illustrate that employment is not deteriorating, that will relieve some of my concerns

The market is feeling more-settled about the idea of another 25 bps in November with the odds up to 93% from 85% yesterday. I don’t see anything here that changes that. Barkin and Williams are also scheduled to speak in the next hour.

This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.

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