Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee spoke with Dow Jones / Market Watch (gated), published only minutes ago:
- “The long arc shows inflation is coming down very significantly, and the unemployment rate is rising faster” than Fed officials had expected in June
- Given the more favorable inflation data and the less favorable unemployment data, “it is pretty clear that the path is not just rate cuts soon” … but multiple cuts over the next 12 months
- said he saw “more” warning signs about the cooling labor market
- persistent weakness has raised the possibility that the labor market will keep cooling, and could “turn into something worse”
On the NFP due later:
- “I don’t want to be basing decision on one data point”
USD/JPY looks to be paying attention:
Goolsbee is towards the dovish end of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) spectrum. Most dovish I would say.
This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.
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