HSBC still sees Fed rate cuts ahead, another 75bp next year. Higher stocks & USD also.

Just a quick snippet from HSBC, analysts at the bank are still forecasting more rate cuts ahead from the Federal Reserve:

• 75bp of rate cuts ahead for 2025
• 25bps steps at the March, June, and September meetings
• “one more cut than the median expectation of Fed members, largely because we find it odd that the Fed is expecting no further deterioration in unemployment”
• then shrinking back to no further rate cuts at all in 2026

More:

• US equities, the fundamentals remain constructive… with a less aggressive Fed easing cycle, the upside clearly has to come from earnings, not valuation multiples
• earnings expectations – especially outside of the Magnificent 7 – are low, providing a low bar to exceed
• US dollar strength should continue as other central banks could ease more aggressively, causing USD to benefit from an attractive rate differential

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.