Rate cuts by year-end
- Fed: 43 bps (92% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting)
2025: 143 bps
- ECB: 30 bps (81% probability of 25 bps rate cut at the upcoming meeting)
2025: 143 bps
- BoE: 44 bps (99% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting)
2025: 143 bps
- BoC: 81 bps (99% probability of 50 bps rate cut at the upcoming meeting)
2025: 180 bps
- RBA: 7 bps (91% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)
2025: 64 bps
- RBNZ: 55 bps (78% probability of 50 bps rate cut at the upcoming meeting)
2025: 163 bps
- SNB: 29 bps (82% probability of 25 bps rate cut at the upcoming meeting)
2025: 73 bps
Rate hikes by year-end
- BoJ: 7 bps (93% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)
2025: 33 bps
*where you see 25 bps rate cut, the rest of the probability is for a 50 bps cut
This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at www.forexlive.com.
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