Rate cuts by year-end
- Fed: 75 bps (51% probability of 50 bps rate cut at the upcoming meeting)
2025: 197 bps
- ECB: 46 bps (70% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting)
2025: 165 bps
- BoE: 40 bps (75% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting)
2025: 161 bps
- BoC: 72 bps (58% probability of 50 bps rate cut at the upcoming meeting)
2025: 211 bps
- RBA: 16 bps (95% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)
2025: 100 bps
- RBNZ: 85 bps (50% probability of 50 bps rate cut at the upcoming meeting)
2025: 237 bps
- SNB: 53 bps (61% probability of 25 bps rate cut at the upcoming meeting)
2025: 65 bps
Rate hikes by year-end
- BoJ: 7 bps (82% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)
2025: 27 bps
(*Where you see 25 bps probability, the rest of the probability is for a 50 bps cut)
This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at www.forexlive.com.
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